Fund Name | Security Name | Class | Currency | NAV / Issue price / Date* |
YTD Return |
Monthly Report |
Prospectus | KIID | ESG Report |
Factsheet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | A | USD | 209.17 (2025-08-31) | 0.81% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | A (H) | CHF | 94.75 (2025-08-31) | -2.20% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | R | USD | 104.53 (2025-08-31) | 0.25% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | B | EUR | 98.85 (2025-08-31) | -10.81% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | B | CHF | 96.43 (2025-08-31) | -11.11% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | B | USD | 106.49 (2025-08-31) | 0.82% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | A (H) | EUR | 98.25 (2025-08-31) | -0.78% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | A | GBP | 99.79 (2025-08-31) | -6.55% | ![]() |
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Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | Kieger Sustainable Healthcare Fund | R | CHF | 87.64 (2025-08-31) | -11.63% | ![]() |
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Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | A | USD | 77.79 (2025-08-31) | -0.79% | ![]() |
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Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | A (H) | CHF | 76.97 (2025-08-31) | -3.90% | ![]() |
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Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | R | USD | 85.43 (2025-08-31) | -1.53% | ![]() |
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Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | B | EUR | 81.15 (2025-08-31) | -12.25% | ![]() |
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Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | B | CHF | 77.33 (2025-08-31) | -12.53% | ![]() |
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Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | Kieger Impact Healthcare Fund | B | USD | 85.54 (2025-08-31) | -0.80% | ![]() |
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* NAV / Issue Price excluding commissions, exclusive of commissions / Date
For detailed information about the non-UCITS funds managed by Kieger, please kindly contact us via email at investorrelations@kieger.com.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and
no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were CSL (+32 bps / Not invested), HCA (+16 bps / No company-specific
news. Overall strength of hospital providers) and Cigna (+16 bps / No
company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last month’s
drawdown).
The largest detractors vs the index were Vertex (-43
bps / Vertex posted better-than-expected Q2 results, though progress in pain
was overshadowed by VX-993’s phase 2 miss. Following FDA discussions, a broad
PNP label for Journavx appears unlikely, so the company will focus on a new DPN
trial to support initial label expansion. While VX-993 did not meet its primary
endpoint, Vertex highlighted plans to explore future combination strategies),
Abbvie (-32 bps / Not invested) and Johnson & Johnson (-21 bps / Not
invested).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio did not report any
material ESG issues in August.
Market review: July was packed with news on
the healthcare side, not all of them positive. The sector was under pressure,
ending the month 4.3% behind the broad market.
More managed Care mayhem: Early in July, Centene
withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second quarter earnings later this
month. Fundamentally, this was driven by higher-than-expected morbidity in the
markets where Centene is present. This follows the UnitedHealth episode in May,
where the company also suspended guidance due to which was in part due to
higher-than-expected utilization. UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July,
as the reinstated guidance for 2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this
continues to paint a challenging picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while some countries reached trade
deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always included. Late in July, a
letter sent by President Trump to major pharmaceutical companies asks for
voluntary actions to reduce prices across government channels, with threats of
retaliation. The letter refers to trade policy to support increasing drug
prices abroad and encourages direct sales to patients. On this point, Novo
Nordisk has shown this month the disruption potential of this tactic, issuing a
profit warning due to continued competition from compounders. Overall, this
letter provides little beyond sustaining this overhang for the group.
Further, in a symptom of the agitation ongoing at
the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as head of the biologics division only 3
months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Elevance (+30 bps / Not invested), AstraZeneca (+29 bps / The stock
rose on the back of US expansion plans. Later in the month, shares were up
after the company reported better than expected Q2 revenues, mostly driven by
the company’s key oncology brands) and Bachem (+26 bps / The firm reported a
strong H1 and upgraded 2025 guidance).
The largest detractors vs the index were Centene (-70 bps / The shares
dipped after the company withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX
business and an acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), Johnson & Johnson
(-51 bps / Not invested) and Cigna (-35 bps / The shares fell over the month
following disappointing results from other players in the space. At the end of
the month, Cigna reported healthy Q2 results and maintained its outlook;
nevertheless, the shares dipped).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market review: June was another tough month for the
healthcare space, which lagged the broader market. The lack of newsflow
regarding any potential tariffs on pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new
pricing measures continue to weigh on the sector.
As we near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs
announced in April, there is still no definitive guidance on whether
pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs were initially exempt under the
original executive order, the continued threat of additional measures from
President Trump has created lingering uncertainty. In addition, there is still
little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored Nation» pricing announced in May
should apply, and if that is at all possible. The deadline for CMS to announce
its price targets was set for June, but it passed without any announcement. We
believe the likelihood of these events is low, but if any of them occur,
earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top of this, the administration changes at the
FDA are increasingly seeming to be disruptive to the approval process.
In June, two major medical conferences took place,
both in Chicago: the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting
(ASCO) and the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At
ASCO, highly expected Phase III data from Summit’s bispecific antibody
PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising data in progression-free survival
(PFS) but disappointed market expectations as the co-primary endpoint of
overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a stricter stance regarding
approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change from previous approvals in
the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for oncology drugs. At ADA, the
main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents coming from China, as well as
the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing agents.
Overall, we remain confident despite the headwinds,
which we see mostly as noise. Such conditions of market dislocation are
supportive for active management, and we stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new positions were initiated
and we exited Lantheus and RadNet.
Performance review: The largest attributors vs. the
index were Bachem (+9 bps / two positive broker notes in June), Cigna (+8 bps /
No specific news) and ResMed (+7 bps / No specific news).
The largest detractors vs the index were Eli Lilly
(-14 bps / Lilly standout at the ADA: 1) orforglipron showed a favourable
safety profile, 2) the next generation amylin analog eloralinitide showed
promising results with a competitive profile Phase II data is expected to be
presented at EASD Vienna and 3) the myostatin inhibitor bimagrumab showed
strong data evidencing both muscle preservation and muscle building effects in
monotherapy. The stock returned 5.7% in June, and we are underweight versus the
reference index), AstraZeneca (-13 bps / News has emerged that RFK Jr. is
exploring ways to tighten regulations on pharmaceutical advertising) and Zoetis
(-9 bps / The European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for
Veterinary Use (CVMP) issued positive opinions recommending marketing
authorization for Zenrelia (Elanco) and Numelvi (Merck), both JAK inhibitors
indicated for treating atopic dermatitis in dogs. Later, a broker downgraded
Zoetis).
ESG: Firms in the
portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust
earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy
fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings
report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and
opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Performance review: The largest contributors were RadNet (+115 bps /
Reported better than expected Q2 results and raised full-year outlook), Humana
(+86 bps / No company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last
month’s drawdown) and Natera (+80 bps / Sales came in above estimates (driven
by Signatera) and raised the 2025 sales and gross margin outlook).
The largest
detractors were Inspire (-85 bps / Despite stronger-than-expected Q2 results,
the 2025 outlook was significantly lowered as the Inspire 5 rollout proved more
complex than anticipated, and some patients may be delaying V therapy while
considering GLP-1 treatments), Tandem (-60 bps / Q2 results showed a sales beat
but an EPS miss, with shares selling off after US expectations were cut due to
rising competition) and Agilon (-31 bps / 2Q results came in below
expectations. In addition, Agilon announced a CEO transition and withdrew FY25
guidance).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in August.
Market review:
July was packed with news on the healthcare side, not all of them
positive. The sector was under pressure, ending the month 4.3% behind the broad
market.
More managed Care
mayhem: Early in July, Centene withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second
quarter earnings later this month. Fundamentally, this was driven by
higher-than-expected morbidity in the markets where Centene is present. This
follows the UnitedHealth episode in May, where the company also suspended
guidance due to which was in part due to higher-than-expected utilization.
UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July, as the reinstated guidance for
2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this continues to paint a challenging
picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while
some countries reached trade deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always
included. Late in July, a letter sent by President Trump to major
pharmaceutical companies asks for voluntary actions to reduce prices across
government channels, with threats of retaliation. The letter refers to trade
policy to support increasing drug prices abroad and encourages direct sales to
patients. On this point, Novo Nordisk has shown this month the disruption
potential of this tactic, issuing a profit warning due to continued competition
from compounders. Overall, this letter provides little beyond sustaining this
overhang for the group.
Further, in a
symptom of the agitation ongoing at the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as
head of the biologics division only 3 months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was
initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest contributors were NewAmsterdam (+22 bps /
Strong data on Alzheimer biomarker prevention), Sandoz (+19 bps / No
company-specific news. Swiss pharmaceutical stocks rose following a Bloomberg
report suggesting that a potential US-Switzerland trade deal may include a
provision granting Switzerland preferential treatment in ongoing national
security investigations, potentially shielding its pharmaceutical exports from
tariffs) and ResMed (+18 bps / The company was upgraded by a broker).
The largest
detractors were Centene (-168 bps / The shares dipped after the company
withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX business and an
acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), NovoNordisk (-106 bps / The company
reported preliminary Q2 results that were almost in-line with expectations but
lowered its sales and operating profit outlook for 2025 due to
slower-than-expected growth in the US obesity and diabetes drugs) and Amplifon
(-92 bps / The firm missed market expectations on top-and bottom-line and
lowered its 2025 outlook).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market
review: June was another tough month for the healthcare space, which lagged the
broader market. The lack of newsflow regarding any potential tariffs on
pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new pricing measures continue to weigh on
the sector.
As we
near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs announced in April, there is still
no definitive guidance on whether pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs
were initially exempt under the original executive order, the continued threat
of additional measures from President Trump has created lingering uncertainty.
In addition, there is still little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored
Nation» pricing announced in May should apply, and if that is at all possible.
The deadline for CMS to announce its price targets was set for June, but it
passed without any announcement. We believe the likelihood of these events is
low, but if any of them occur, earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top
of this, the administration changes at the FDA are increasingly seeming to be
disruptive to the approval process.
In
June, two major medical conferences took place, both in Chicago: the American
Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting (ASCO) and the American Diabetes
Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At ASCO, highly expected Phase III data
from Summit’s bispecific antibody PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising
data in progression-free survival (PFS) but disappointed market expectations as
the co-primary endpoint of overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a
stricter stance regarding approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change
from previous approvals in the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for
oncology drugs. At ADA, the main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents
coming from China, as well as the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing
agents.
Overall,
we remain confident despite the headwinds, which we see mostly as noise. Such
conditions of market dislocation are supportive for active management, and we
stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new
position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The
largest contributors were Teladoc (+52 bps / two bullish reports released by
Citron), BioNTech (+47 bps / BioNTech and Bristol Myers Squibb have signed a
collaboration agreement (USD 1.5bn upfront, total potential value up to USD
11.1bn) to co-develop and co-commercialize a bispecific antibody targeting
PD-L1 and VEGF) and Hypera (+30 bps / Broker upgrade).
The largest detractors were
Exact (-21 bps / Competitor Guardant reported that the National Comprehensive
Cancer Network has added its Shield
blood test to the updated colorectal cancer screening guidelines. Throughout
June, shares declined amid investor caution ahead of the Supreme Court’s June
27 ruling in Braidwood v. Kennedy. On the day of the decision, the Court ruling
overturned lower court decisions that had risked weakening the USPSTF’s
authority and potentially increasing patient costs for preventive tools like
Exact Sciences’ Cologuard), Hikma (-21 bps / announced a USD 1bn investment by
2030 in the US) and Tandem (-18 bps / Expectation of new competition entering
the market).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust
earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy
fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings
report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and
opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Performance review: The largest contributors were RadNet (+115 bps /
Reported better than expected Q2 results and raised full-year outlook), Humana
(+86 bps / No company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last
month’s drawdown) and Natera (+80 bps / Sales came in above estimates (driven
by Signatera) and raised the 2025 sales and gross margin outlook).
The largest
detractors were Inspire (-85 bps / Despite stronger-than-expected Q2 results,
the 2025 outlook was significantly lowered as the Inspire 5 rollout proved more
complex than anticipated, and some patients may be delaying V therapy while
considering GLP-1 treatments), Tandem (-60 bps / Q2 results showed a sales beat
but an EPS miss, with shares selling off after US expectations were cut due to
rising competition) and Agilon (-31 bps / 2Q results came in below
expectations. In addition, Agilon announced a CEO transition and withdrew FY25
guidance).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in August.
Market review:
July was packed with news on the healthcare side, not all of them
positive. The sector was under pressure, ending the month 4.3% behind the broad
market.
More managed Care
mayhem: Early in July, Centene withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second
quarter earnings later this month. Fundamentally, this was driven by
higher-than-expected morbidity in the markets where Centene is present. This
follows the UnitedHealth episode in May, where the company also suspended
guidance due to which was in part due to higher-than-expected utilization.
UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July, as the reinstated guidance for
2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this continues to paint a challenging
picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while
some countries reached trade deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always
included. Late in July, a letter sent by President Trump to major
pharmaceutical companies asks for voluntary actions to reduce prices across
government channels, with threats of retaliation. The letter refers to trade
policy to support increasing drug prices abroad and encourages direct sales to
patients. On this point, Novo Nordisk has shown this month the disruption
potential of this tactic, issuing a profit warning due to continued competition
from compounders. Overall, this letter provides little beyond sustaining this
overhang for the group.
Further, in a
symptom of the agitation ongoing at the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as
head of the biologics division only 3 months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was
initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest contributors were NewAmsterdam (+22 bps /
Strong data on Alzheimer biomarker prevention), Sandoz (+19 bps / No
company-specific news. Swiss pharmaceutical stocks rose following a Bloomberg
report suggesting that a potential US-Switzerland trade deal may include a
provision granting Switzerland preferential treatment in ongoing national
security investigations, potentially shielding its pharmaceutical exports from
tariffs) and ResMed (+18 bps / The company was upgraded by a broker).
The largest
detractors were Centene (-168 bps / The shares dipped after the company
withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX business and an
acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), NovoNordisk (-106 bps / The company
reported preliminary Q2 results that were almost in-line with expectations but
lowered its sales and operating profit outlook for 2025 due to
slower-than-expected growth in the US obesity and diabetes drugs) and Amplifon
(-92 bps / The firm missed market expectations on top-and bottom-line and
lowered its 2025 outlook).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market
review: June was another tough month for the healthcare space, which lagged the
broader market. The lack of newsflow regarding any potential tariffs on
pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new pricing measures continue to weigh on
the sector.
As we
near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs announced in April, there is still
no definitive guidance on whether pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs
were initially exempt under the original executive order, the continued threat
of additional measures from President Trump has created lingering uncertainty.
In addition, there is still little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored
Nation» pricing announced in May should apply, and if that is at all possible.
The deadline for CMS to announce its price targets was set for June, but it
passed without any announcement. We believe the likelihood of these events is
low, but if any of them occur, earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top
of this, the administration changes at the FDA are increasingly seeming to be
disruptive to the approval process.
In
June, two major medical conferences took place, both in Chicago: the American
Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting (ASCO) and the American Diabetes
Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At ASCO, highly expected Phase III data
from Summit’s bispecific antibody PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising
data in progression-free survival (PFS) but disappointed market expectations as
the co-primary endpoint of overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a
stricter stance regarding approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change
from previous approvals in the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for
oncology drugs. At ADA, the main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents
coming from China, as well as the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing
agents.
Overall,
we remain confident despite the headwinds, which we see mostly as noise. Such
conditions of market dislocation are supportive for active management, and we
stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new
position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The
largest contributors were Teladoc (+52 bps / two bullish reports released by
Citron), BioNTech (+47 bps / BioNTech and Bristol Myers Squibb have signed a
collaboration agreement (USD 1.5bn upfront, total potential value up to USD
11.1bn) to co-develop and co-commercialize a bispecific antibody targeting
PD-L1 and VEGF) and Hypera (+30 bps / Broker upgrade).
The largest detractors were
Exact (-21 bps / Competitor Guardant reported that the National Comprehensive
Cancer Network has added its Shield
blood test to the updated colorectal cancer screening guidelines. Throughout
June, shares declined amid investor caution ahead of the Supreme Court’s June
27 ruling in Braidwood v. Kennedy. On the day of the decision, the Court ruling
overturned lower court decisions that had risked weakening the USPSTF’s
authority and potentially increasing patient costs for preventive tools like
Exact Sciences’ Cologuard), Hikma (-21 bps / announced a USD 1bn investment by
2030 in the US) and Tandem (-18 bps / Expectation of new competition entering
the market).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust
earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy
fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings
report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and
opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Performance review: The largest contributors were RadNet (+115 bps /
Reported better than expected Q2 results and raised full-year outlook), Humana
(+86 bps / No company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last
month’s drawdown) and Natera (+80 bps / Sales came in above estimates (driven
by Signatera) and raised the 2025 sales and gross margin outlook).
The largest
detractors were Inspire (-85 bps / Despite stronger-than-expected Q2 results,
the 2025 outlook was significantly lowered as the Inspire 5 rollout proved more
complex than anticipated, and some patients may be delaying V therapy while
considering GLP-1 treatments), Tandem (-60 bps / Q2 results showed a sales beat
but an EPS miss, with shares selling off after US expectations were cut due to
rising competition) and Agilon (-31 bps / 2Q results came in below
expectations. In addition, Agilon announced a CEO transition and withdrew FY25
guidance).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in August.
Market review:
July was packed with news on the healthcare side, not all of them
positive. The sector was under pressure, ending the month 4.3% behind the broad
market.
More managed Care
mayhem: Early in July, Centene withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second
quarter earnings later this month. Fundamentally, this was driven by
higher-than-expected morbidity in the markets where Centene is present. This
follows the UnitedHealth episode in May, where the company also suspended
guidance due to which was in part due to higher-than-expected utilization.
UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July, as the reinstated guidance for
2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this continues to paint a challenging
picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while
some countries reached trade deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always
included. Late in July, a letter sent by President Trump to major
pharmaceutical companies asks for voluntary actions to reduce prices across
government channels, with threats of retaliation. The letter refers to trade
policy to support increasing drug prices abroad and encourages direct sales to
patients. On this point, Novo Nordisk has shown this month the disruption
potential of this tactic, issuing a profit warning due to continued competition
from compounders. Overall, this letter provides little beyond sustaining this
overhang for the group.
Further, in a
symptom of the agitation ongoing at the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as
head of the biologics division only 3 months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was
initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest contributors were NewAmsterdam (+22 bps /
Strong data on Alzheimer biomarker prevention), Sandoz (+19 bps / No
company-specific news. Swiss pharmaceutical stocks rose following a Bloomberg
report suggesting that a potential US-Switzerland trade deal may include a
provision granting Switzerland preferential treatment in ongoing national
security investigations, potentially shielding its pharmaceutical exports from
tariffs) and ResMed (+18 bps / The company was upgraded by a broker).
The largest
detractors were Centene (-168 bps / The shares dipped after the company
withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX business and an
acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), NovoNordisk (-106 bps / The company
reported preliminary Q2 results that were almost in-line with expectations but
lowered its sales and operating profit outlook for 2025 due to
slower-than-expected growth in the US obesity and diabetes drugs) and Amplifon
(-92 bps / The firm missed market expectations on top-and bottom-line and
lowered its 2025 outlook).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market
review: June was another tough month for the healthcare space, which lagged the
broader market. The lack of newsflow regarding any potential tariffs on
pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new pricing measures continue to weigh on
the sector.
As we
near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs announced in April, there is still
no definitive guidance on whether pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs
were initially exempt under the original executive order, the continued threat
of additional measures from President Trump has created lingering uncertainty.
In addition, there is still little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored
Nation» pricing announced in May should apply, and if that is at all possible.
The deadline for CMS to announce its price targets was set for June, but it
passed without any announcement. We believe the likelihood of these events is
low, but if any of them occur, earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top
of this, the administration changes at the FDA are increasingly seeming to be
disruptive to the approval process.
In
June, two major medical conferences took place, both in Chicago: the American
Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting (ASCO) and the American Diabetes
Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At ASCO, highly expected Phase III data
from Summit’s bispecific antibody PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising
data in progression-free survival (PFS) but disappointed market expectations as
the co-primary endpoint of overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a
stricter stance regarding approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change
from previous approvals in the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for
oncology drugs. At ADA, the main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents
coming from China, as well as the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing
agents.
Overall,
we remain confident despite the headwinds, which we see mostly as noise. Such
conditions of market dislocation are supportive for active management, and we
stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new
position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The
largest contributors were Teladoc (+52 bps / two bullish reports released by
Citron), BioNTech (+47 bps / BioNTech and Bristol Myers Squibb have signed a
collaboration agreement (USD 1.5bn upfront, total potential value up to USD
11.1bn) to co-develop and co-commercialize a bispecific antibody targeting
PD-L1 and VEGF) and Hypera (+30 bps / Broker upgrade).
The largest detractors were
Exact (-21 bps / Competitor Guardant reported that the National Comprehensive
Cancer Network has added its Shield
blood test to the updated colorectal cancer screening guidelines. Throughout
June, shares declined amid investor caution ahead of the Supreme Court’s June
27 ruling in Braidwood v. Kennedy. On the day of the decision, the Court ruling
overturned lower court decisions that had risked weakening the USPSTF’s
authority and potentially increasing patient costs for preventive tools like
Exact Sciences’ Cologuard), Hikma (-21 bps / announced a USD 1bn investment by
2030 in the US) and Tandem (-18 bps / Expectation of new competition entering
the market).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust
earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy
fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings
report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and
opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Performance review: The largest contributors were RadNet (+115 bps /
Reported better than expected Q2 results and raised full-year outlook), Humana
(+86 bps / No company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last
month’s drawdown) and Natera (+80 bps / Sales came in above estimates (driven
by Signatera) and raised the 2025 sales and gross margin outlook).
The largest
detractors were Inspire (-85 bps / Despite stronger-than-expected Q2 results,
the 2025 outlook was significantly lowered as the Inspire 5 rollout proved more
complex than anticipated, and some patients may be delaying V therapy while
considering GLP-1 treatments), Tandem (-60 bps / Q2 results showed a sales beat
but an EPS miss, with shares selling off after US expectations were cut due to
rising competition) and Agilon (-31 bps / 2Q results came in below
expectations. In addition, Agilon announced a CEO transition and withdrew FY25
guidance).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in August.
Please change me...
Please change me...
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust
earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy
fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings
report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and
opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Performance review: The largest contributors were RadNet (+115 bps /
Reported better than expected Q2 results and raised full-year outlook), Humana
(+86 bps / No company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last
month’s drawdown) and Natera (+80 bps / Sales came in above estimates (driven
by Signatera) and raised the 2025 sales and gross margin outlook).
The largest
detractors were Inspire (-85 bps / Despite stronger-than-expected Q2 results,
the 2025 outlook was significantly lowered as the Inspire 5 rollout proved more
complex than anticipated, and some patients may be delaying V therapy while
considering GLP-1 treatments), Tandem (-60 bps / Q2 results showed a sales beat
but an EPS miss, with shares selling off after US expectations were cut due to
rising competition) and Agilon (-31 bps / 2Q results came in below
expectations. In addition, Agilon announced a CEO transition and withdrew FY25
guidance).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in August.
Market review:
July was packed with news on the healthcare side, not all of them
positive. The sector was under pressure, ending the month 4.3% behind the broad
market.
More managed Care
mayhem: Early in July, Centene withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second
quarter earnings later this month. Fundamentally, this was driven by
higher-than-expected morbidity in the markets where Centene is present. This
follows the UnitedHealth episode in May, where the company also suspended
guidance due to which was in part due to higher-than-expected utilization.
UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July, as the reinstated guidance for
2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this continues to paint a challenging
picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while
some countries reached trade deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always
included. Late in July, a letter sent by President Trump to major
pharmaceutical companies asks for voluntary actions to reduce prices across
government channels, with threats of retaliation. The letter refers to trade
policy to support increasing drug prices abroad and encourages direct sales to
patients. On this point, Novo Nordisk has shown this month the disruption
potential of this tactic, issuing a profit warning due to continued competition
from compounders. Overall, this letter provides little beyond sustaining this
overhang for the group.
Further, in a
symptom of the agitation ongoing at the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as
head of the biologics division only 3 months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was
initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest contributors were NewAmsterdam (+22 bps /
Strong data on Alzheimer biomarker prevention), Sandoz (+19 bps / No
company-specific news. Swiss pharmaceutical stocks rose following a Bloomberg
report suggesting that a potential US-Switzerland trade deal may include a
provision granting Switzerland preferential treatment in ongoing national
security investigations, potentially shielding its pharmaceutical exports from
tariffs) and ResMed (+18 bps / The company was upgraded by a broker).
The largest
detractors were Centene (-168 bps / The shares dipped after the company
withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX business and an
acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), NovoNordisk (-106 bps / The company
reported preliminary Q2 results that were almost in-line with expectations but
lowered its sales and operating profit outlook for 2025 due to
slower-than-expected growth in the US obesity and diabetes drugs) and Amplifon
(-92 bps / The firm missed market expectations on top-and bottom-line and
lowered its 2025 outlook).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market
review: June was another tough month for the healthcare space, which lagged the
broader market. The lack of newsflow regarding any potential tariffs on
pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new pricing measures continue to weigh on
the sector.
As we
near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs announced in April, there is still
no definitive guidance on whether pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs
were initially exempt under the original executive order, the continued threat
of additional measures from President Trump has created lingering uncertainty.
In addition, there is still little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored
Nation» pricing announced in May should apply, and if that is at all possible.
The deadline for CMS to announce its price targets was set for June, but it
passed without any announcement. We believe the likelihood of these events is
low, but if any of them occur, earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top
of this, the administration changes at the FDA are increasingly seeming to be
disruptive to the approval process.
In
June, two major medical conferences took place, both in Chicago: the American
Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting (ASCO) and the American Diabetes
Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At ASCO, highly expected Phase III data
from Summit’s bispecific antibody PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising
data in progression-free survival (PFS) but disappointed market expectations as
the co-primary endpoint of overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a
stricter stance regarding approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change
from previous approvals in the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for
oncology drugs. At ADA, the main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents
coming from China, as well as the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing
agents.
Overall,
we remain confident despite the headwinds, which we see mostly as noise. Such
conditions of market dislocation are supportive for active management, and we
stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new
position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The
largest contributors were Teladoc (+52 bps / two bullish reports released by
Citron), BioNTech (+47 bps / BioNTech and Bristol Myers Squibb have signed a
collaboration agreement (USD 1.5bn upfront, total potential value up to USD
11.1bn) to co-develop and co-commercialize a bispecific antibody targeting
PD-L1 and VEGF) and Hypera (+30 bps / Broker upgrade).
The largest detractors were
Exact (-21 bps / Competitor Guardant reported that the National Comprehensive
Cancer Network has added its Shield
blood test to the updated colorectal cancer screening guidelines. Throughout
June, shares declined amid investor caution ahead of the Supreme Court’s June
27 ruling in Braidwood v. Kennedy. On the day of the decision, the Court ruling
overturned lower court decisions that had risked weakening the USPSTF’s
authority and potentially increasing patient costs for preventive tools like
Exact Sciences’ Cologuard), Hikma (-21 bps / announced a USD 1bn investment by
2030 in the US) and Tandem (-18 bps / Expectation of new competition entering
the market).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in June.
Market review: August marks the strongest month for
the sector since January, with the MSCI World healthcare outperforming the
broad market by 2.5%. This performance was driven by a strong rebound in the
services sector following last month’s drawdown. Biopharma companies also
performed well, with large caps driven by relief on incremental clarity on
pricing (more below), and small caps reacting to increasingly dovish rate
expectations.
Some clarity on tariffs: This month, the European
Commission and the White house issued a joint trade statement between the EU
and the US. The joint statement set a ceiling of 15% for tariffs across all EU
products exported to the US. This ceiling will apply to pharmaceuticals,
regardless of the outcome of the ongoing 232 investigation. This investigation
assess the effect of imports on US national security, as was previously deemed
to be a major overhang. In addition, generics will be tariffed at the previously
implemented most-favoured nation level, which is close to zero. Switzerland
currently faces 39% tariffs on many exports since the beginning of the month.
However, pharmaceuticals currently remain exempted from these tariffs. While
there is a lot of policy volatility in the US, this gives some clarity for the
many international companies producing in the EU for the US market and sets a
potential benchmark for future negotiations. Separately, a letter was sent by
the Trump administration to pharmaceutical companies regarding drug pricing. A
lot of uncertainty remains on this matter, however the absence of details or
binding constraints triggered relief in the pharmaceutical sector.
Close of the earnings season: Second quarter
reporting is now over, with results overall quite strong of the sector.
Sales and EPS growth close to 10% and overall robust
earnings surprises continue to bolster our confidence in the sector’s healthy
fundamentals. This quarter once again saw very large swings following earnings
report for several companies. This highlights the information asymmetries and
opportunities for value creation with active management within the sector.
Performance review: The largest contributors were RadNet (+115 bps /
Reported better than expected Q2 results and raised full-year outlook), Humana
(+86 bps / No company-specific news. Rebound of services firms following last
month’s drawdown) and Natera (+80 bps / Sales came in above estimates (driven
by Signatera) and raised the 2025 sales and gross margin outlook).
The largest
detractors were Inspire (-85 bps / Despite stronger-than-expected Q2 results,
the 2025 outlook was significantly lowered as the Inspire 5 rollout proved more
complex than anticipated, and some patients may be delaying V therapy while
considering GLP-1 treatments), Tandem (-60 bps / Q2 results showed a sales beat
but an EPS miss, with shares selling off after US expectations were cut due to
rising competition) and Agilon (-31 bps / 2Q results came in below
expectations. In addition, Agilon announced a CEO transition and withdrew FY25
guidance).
ESG:
Firms in the portfolio did not report any material ESG issues in August.
Market review:
July was packed with news on the healthcare side, not all of them
positive. The sector was under pressure, ending the month 4.3% behind the broad
market.
More managed Care
mayhem: Early in July, Centene withdrew its 2025 guidance ahead of the second
quarter earnings later this month. Fundamentally, this was driven by
higher-than-expected morbidity in the markets where Centene is present. This
follows the UnitedHealth episode in May, where the company also suspended
guidance due to which was in part due to higher-than-expected utilization.
UnitedHealth was also under pressure in July, as the reinstated guidance for
2025 was lower than expected. Overall, this continues to paint a challenging
picture for the group as headwinds persist.
For pharma, while
some countries reached trade deals with the US, pharmaceuticals are not always
included. Late in July, a letter sent by President Trump to major
pharmaceutical companies asks for voluntary actions to reduce prices across
government channels, with threats of retaliation. The letter refers to trade
policy to support increasing drug prices abroad and encourages direct sales to
patients. On this point, Novo Nordisk has shown this month the disruption
potential of this tactic, issuing a profit warning due to continued competition
from compounders. Overall, this letter provides little beyond sustaining this
overhang for the group.
Further, in a
symptom of the agitation ongoing at the FDA, Dr Vinay Prasad has resigned as
head of the biologics division only 3 months after taking office.
Overall,
macro continues to drive the sector despite solid Q2 earnings being reported
season which is currently ongoing.
Portfolio changes: No new position was
initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The largest contributors were NewAmsterdam (+22 bps /
Strong data on Alzheimer biomarker prevention), Sandoz (+19 bps / No
company-specific news. Swiss pharmaceutical stocks rose following a Bloomberg
report suggesting that a potential US-Switzerland trade deal may include a
provision granting Switzerland preferential treatment in ongoing national
security investigations, potentially shielding its pharmaceutical exports from
tariffs) and ResMed (+18 bps / The company was upgraded by a broker).
The largest
detractors were Centene (-168 bps / The shares dipped after the company
withdrew its 2025 guidance, due to pressure in its HIX business and an
acceleration in Medicaid cost trend), NovoNordisk (-106 bps / The company
reported preliminary Q2 results that were almost in-line with expectations but
lowered its sales and operating profit outlook for 2025 due to
slower-than-expected growth in the US obesity and diabetes drugs) and Amplifon
(-92 bps / The firm missed market expectations on top-and bottom-line and
lowered its 2025 outlook).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in July.
Market
review: June was another tough month for the healthcare space, which lagged the
broader market. The lack of newsflow regarding any potential tariffs on
pharmaceutical, as well as clarity on new pricing measures continue to weigh on
the sector.
As we
near the end of the 90-day pause on tariffs announced in April, there is still
no definitive guidance on whether pharmaceuticals will be affected. While drugs
were initially exempt under the original executive order, the continued threat
of additional measures from President Trump has created lingering uncertainty.
In addition, there is still little clarity regarding how the «Most-Favored
Nation» pricing announced in May should apply, and if that is at all possible.
The deadline for CMS to announce its price targets was set for June, but it
passed without any announcement. We believe the likelihood of these events is
low, but if any of them occur, earnings will be negatively impacted.
On top
of this, the administration changes at the FDA are increasingly seeming to be
disruptive to the approval process.
In
June, two major medical conferences took place, both in Chicago: the American
Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting (ASCO) and the American Diabetes
Association Scientific Sessions (ADA). At ASCO, highly expected Phase III data
from Summit’s bispecific antibody PD1xVEGF, ivonescimab, demonstrated promising
data in progression-free survival (PFS) but disappointed market expectations as
the co-primary endpoint of overall survival (OS) was not met. The FDA has a
stricter stance regarding approvability, now requiring OS. This is a change
from previous approvals in the same setting and may hint at a changing bar for
oncology drugs. At ADA, the main highlights were the number of GLP-1 agents
coming from China, as well as the potential of amylin and muscle-sparing
agents.
Overall,
we remain confident despite the headwinds, which we see mostly as noise. Such
conditions of market dislocation are supportive for active management, and we
stick to our process.
Portfolio changes: No new
position was initiated and no position was exited.
Performance review: The
largest contributors were Teladoc (+52 bps / two bullish reports released by
Citron), BioNTech (+47 bps / BioNTech and Bristol Myers Squibb have signed a
collaboration agreement (USD 1.5bn upfront, total potential value up to USD
11.1bn) to co-develop and co-commercialize a bispecific antibody targeting
PD-L1 and VEGF) and Hypera (+30 bps / Broker upgrade).
The largest detractors were
Exact (-21 bps / Competitor Guardant reported that the National Comprehensive
Cancer Network has added its Shield
blood test to the updated colorectal cancer screening guidelines. Throughout
June, shares declined amid investor caution ahead of the Supreme Court’s June
27 ruling in Braidwood v. Kennedy. On the day of the decision, the Court ruling
overturned lower court decisions that had risked weakening the USPSTF’s
authority and potentially increasing patient costs for preventive tools like
Exact Sciences’ Cologuard), Hikma (-21 bps / announced a USD 1bn investment by
2030 in the US) and Tandem (-18 bps / Expectation of new competition entering
the market).
ESG: Firms in the portfolio
did not report any material ESG issues in June.